Conference Odds Are Up

At betonusa.com, they have odds to win the national championship, odds to win each conference, and odds to win the heisman.  Check them out for yourself; I am not going to regurgitate them all to you now.   I will however go conference by conference if I think there is a good pick for the money.

In general, most of these preseason picks are a waste.  First, they tie up your money for the next 4 months.  Second, anyone who is halfway decent isnt getting a good price.  Florida is -300 to win the SEC for example.  If you liked Florida, why wouldnt you just bet on them every game, and if anything ever went wrong, you could, not bet on them that week?  Theyre dumb, but lets look at some ok values.

ACC:  

Everyone is low on this.  7 teams have odds of less than 10-1 to win the ACC.  This is to be expected as the conference is wide open.  Even my "cinderella" of the year, NC State, is only getting 8-1.  VT is the favorite at +250.  I wouldnt bet on any of them.

Big12:

As expected, Texas and Oklahoma are +150, the leaders.   One bet I do like is Mizzou at 20-1.  I know they will be down this year, and Kansas and Nebraska will probably end up being better.  But, Mizzou winning the Big12 North is not that far fetched of an idea.  If they do, you can hedge them in the Dr. Pepper Big12 Title Game against whoever they play for half the price.  Say you put $50 on Mizzou at 20-1.  Youre betting that theyre better than Nebraska and Kansas, not necessarily better than Oklahoma and Texas.  

Big East:

Another conference with a bunch of low odds.  6/8 teams are less than 10-1.  Pitt, S. Florida, and WV are all the favorites at +250.  I guess Rutgers at +400 would be my pick, but again, why bet on Rutgers at only 4-1?

Big10:

Youre not getting that good of odds in this conference either.  Ohio St. is +150, and Penn St. is +250.  Remember how I wrote an article how MSU could win it?  Well theyre only +500.  Northwestern at +2000 could be a good value.  I would definitely take NW over Michigan, and Michigan is only getting +1000.  

Pac10

USC is overwhelming favorite at -300.  Oregon and Cal are +300.  Other than that there is no real value.  Ore State, who was 1 game away from winning it all last year, is +800, and thats ehhhh, and okay pick.  Stanford at 30-1 would be the pick.  

SEC:

Florida is -300 here.  LSU, Miss, Bama are all +500.  Cant Imagine any other team winning the SEC.  UGA of course, but theyre only +600.  After that, the prices skyrocket.  Arkansas at +4000 might not be the worst pick ever.

For Heisman, we all know that theyve already decided the 3 finalists.  Theyre gonna be Tebow, McCoy and Bradford barring an injury or someone really coming out of nowhere.  Theyre the favorites: Tebow is +200, Bradford +250, McCoy +300.  Terrelle Pryor is next biggest favorite at +800, and I cant imagine how he could win it.  I like the Darryl Clark pick for +1800.  Reesing at +2000 isnt bad either.

So in conclusion, the only things i would bet on off this list, with a gun forced on me would be:

Mizzou 20-1

NW 20-1

Stanford 30-1

Arkansas 40-1

Clark 18-1

Reesing 20-1

I would most likely lose all of them, but at those prices, you only need to win one to turn a profit.